BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Northern Arizona

Class: 1 Class Rank: 254 Overall: (10-22) Overall Strength =   26.54
Conference: Big Sky Record: (6-13) | District: 1-02 Record: (8-21)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L   *  24.12  59  77    1 108 (22-10) New Mexico             -2.40    -15.60                      
 2 11-08-2025 Away    L   *  22.88  73  78    1 260 ( 9-19) Utah Tech              -3.64     -1.36                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W      26.52 100  59   ZZ 154 ( 0- 1) Embry-Riddle AZ         0.00 *   41.00                      
 4 11-15-2025 Away    L   *  30.36  75  90    1  91 (26- 5) UC Irvine               3.83    -18.83                      
 5 11-19-2025 Home    L   *  29.14  74  80    1 124 (19-12) Pepperdine              2.62     -8.62                      
 6 11-21-2025 Away    L      31.94  76  87    1 106 (12-18) Arizona                 5.41    -16.41                      
 7 11-26-2025 Neutral L   *  19.31  60  79    1 121 (17-13) Northern Iowa          -7.22    -11.78                      
 8 11-28-2025 Neutral L   *  19.94  62  86    1  79 (16-15) Creighton              -6.59    -17.41                      
 9 12-03-2025 Away    L   *  24.81  66  74    1 205 (16-16) St Thomas MN           -1.71     -6.29                      
10 12-06-2025 Home    L   *  33.26  72  88    1  54 (27- 6) S Dakota St             6.74    -22.74                      
11 12-15-2025 Home    W      26.02  95  53   ZZ 163 ( 0- 2) Park-Gilbert           -0.51 *   42.51                      
12 12-18-2025 Away    W   *  48.00  77  56    1 273 (10-19) CS Northridge          21.48     -0.48                      
13 12-20-2025 Away    W   *  43.92  71  68    1 118 (22- 8) UC San Diego           17.39    -14.39                      
14 01-01-2026 Home    W * *  31.71  81  72    1 262 ( 9-22) Montana                 5.19      3.81                      
15 01-03-2026 Home    L * *  26.85  65  82    1  70 (24- 6) Montana St              0.33    -17.33                      
16 01-08-2026 Away    W * *  42.55  71  58    1 245 (11-22) Weber St               16.02     -3.02                      
17 01-10-2026 Away    L * *  25.89  46  59    1 144 (19-11) Idaho St               -0.63    -12.37                      
18 01-15-2026 Home    L * *   9.21  59  78    1 201 (15-17) CS Sacramento         -17.31     -1.69                      
19 01-17-2026 Home    W * *  29.59  80  68    1 303 ( 6-25) Portland St             3.06      8.94                      
20 01-19-2026 Away    L * *  24.01  72  76    1 262 ( 9-22) Montana                -2.52     -1.48                      
21 01-24-2026 Away    L * *  25.66  59  72    1 145 (22-10) N Colorado             -0.87    -12.13                      
22 01-29-2026 Home    L * *  22.19  87  93    1 207 (15-17) E Washington           -4.34     -1.66                      
23 01-31-2026 Away    L * *  21.30  71  94    1  94 (27- 5) Idaho                  -5.22    -17.78                      
24 02-05-2026 Home    L * *  24.60  70  79    1 144 (19-11) Idaho St               -1.93     -7.07                      
25 02-07-2026 Home    W * *  32.25  73  65    1 245 (11-22) Weber St                5.73      2.27                      
26 02-12-2026 Away    W * *  30.88  88  80 1  1 303 ( 6-25) Portland St             4.36      3.64                      
27 02-14-2026 Away    W * *  38.50  60  55    1 201 (15-17) CS Sacramento          11.98     -6.98                      
28 02-21-2026 Home    L * *   5.36  53  81    1 145 (22-10) N Colorado            -21.16     -6.84                      
29 02-26-2026 Home    L * *  11.01  57  85    1  94 (27- 5) Idaho                 -15.52    -12.48                      
30 02-28-2026 Away    L * *  13.48  61  81    1 207 (15-17) E Washington          -13.04     -6.96                      
31 03-02-2026 Away    L * *  29.15  48  68    1  70 (24- 6) Montana St              2.62    -22.62                      
32 03-07-2026 Neutral L * *  24.36  60  61    1 262 ( 9-22) Montana                -2.16      1.16                      
      Averages              26.52  69.4 74.4

Best game:   48.00 = 21 point win over CS Northridge
Worst game:   5.36 = 28 point loss to N Colorado
Team stdev:   9.32